July 26, 2025

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Initial Jobless Claims Dip to 217,000 as Most States Report Declines

U.S. weekly unemployment claims fell to 217,000 for the week ending July 19, down 4,000 from the prior period, according to the U.S. Department of Labor. Most states reported lower filings: Georgia’s claims slid to 6,548 from 7,411, Florida’s fell to 6,154 from 7,335, and Ohio’s dropped to 5,190 from 7,087.

Kentucky posted the largest percentage increase in claims at 164.9%.

Mississippi experienced the steepest drop, down 50.3%.

This latest report underscores a broadly cooling pace of layoffs amid a still-tight labor market.

Mixed Signals Emerge in US Talks with Canada, South Korea and Pakistan

The United States is sending mixed signals across three critical trade fronts.

• Canada: President Trump warned he may scrap negotiations and impose up to a 35% tariff if no new deal is reached by August 1, despite Canada exporting 75% of its goods to the U.S. and “productive” talks in Washington.

• South Korea: Facing 25% U.S. tariffs, Seoul will present a “mutually agreeable” package—including shipbuilding cooperation—before minister-level meetings next week, aiming to match Japan’s tariff reduction to 15%.

• Pakistan: Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar told the Atlantic Council that a U.S. trade deal is “very close” and could be finalized within days, though Washington has offered no timeline.

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Experts Flag Market Risks as Fed Independence Comes Under Fire

Kevin O’Leary and Albert Edwards Sound Alarms on U.S. Market Stability

Shark Tank investor Kevin O’Leary cautioned on X that former President Trump’s public attacks on Fed Chair Jerome Powell “could undermine global trust” in U.S. financial markets, stressing Fed independence is what attracts trillions in foreign capital. O’Leary warned that “whacking the Fed is not a good idea, period,” urging an orderly leadership transition.

Meanwhile, Société Générale bear Albert Edwards flagged an “everything bubble,” noting the S&P 500’s Shiller P/E at 38—among its highest ever—and U.S. home price‐to‐income ratios holding firm despite rising bond yields. Edwards warned Japan’s fiscal strains and a yen carry‐trade unwind could trigger a sharp market correction.

Intel Spins Off Networking Unit as AI Chip ETF Soars

Intel confirmed on July 25 it will spin off its Network and Edge Group into an independent company, part of CEO Lip-Bu Tan’s deep restructuring after a $2.9 billion Q2 loss and plans to cut 15 percent of its workforce. Meanwhile, Nvidia and AMD remain the top weights in the iShares Semiconductor ETF (SOXX), which has returned 24.1 percent annually over the past decade.

Spin-off aims to streamline operations and secure outside capital while Intel stays an anchor investor.

ETF concentration in AI‐focused chipmakers could turn $500/month into $1 million over time.

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Experts Warn Political Attacks on Fed Could Undermine Markets, Trigger Bubble Crash